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(Solved): Your friend Noah claims that there is a 50% chance of rain every day at any given loccation. He sa ...



Your friend Noah claims that there is a 50% chance of rain every day at any given loccation. He says that there are two possible outcomes, "rain", and "not rain" for each day. Since 1 of those two outcomes is rain he conclludes that the probzzbility of rain is 1/2 = 0.5 (or 50%). Explain what is wrong with Noah's reasoning.



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